Key Takeaways
- Len Sassaman's odds of being Satoshi Nakamoto fell to 14%.
- Adam Back denied claims that he would be revealed as Satoshi.
- Over $13 million has been bet on Polymarket ahead of the documentary.
Ahead of the upcoming HBO documentary on Bitcoin’s creator, Polymarket bettors have reshuffled their predictions on who might be revealed as Satoshi Nakamoto.
Len Sassaman, once a favorite contender, saw his odds drop from 55% to 14% after his wife, Meredith L. Patterson, refuted the speculation and confirmed she was not contacted by HBO.
Initially leading the betting pool, Sassaman’s odds fell after Patterson’s interview with DL News debunked the theory.
Patterson said:
I kind of wonder whether I’m screwing with the prediction markets by answering honestly… but long story short, f*ck em.
Speculation surrounding Sassaman had fueled the rise of memecoins named after him and his cat.
Meanwhile, Adam Back, Blockstream CEO, was also floated as a candidate by businessman Samson Mow, but Back denied the claim, tweeting that he does not know Nakamoto’s identity.
As of Tuesday afternoon, “Other/Multiple” leads the Polymarket odds at 56%, with Sassaman at 13%, and Back at 11%.
Over $13 million has been wagered on the question so far, with no conclusive leaks ahead of the documentary airing at 02:00 UTC Wednesday.
